Which of the junior faculty in the fancy theory programs are actually likely to get tenure?
The better question is who at these programs will likely *not* get tenure?
In your view, Oli, what makes that question "better"? Better on what metric(s)?Is the implication that most of the junior at CHYMPS type programs will be tenured, and only the exceptions will not?
The implication is that CHYMPS tenure political theorists at a much higher rate than people think.