Why Texas might turn blue in 2024 (not kidding)

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Why Texas might turn blue in 2024 (not kidding)

Russell

Texas seems poised to turn blue in 2024 because of demographic trends in the state. Here's a few reasons. In a nutshell, it is because of suburbs not swinging back enough after 2020, Republicans not getting the impressive 2020 Hispanic numbers again (the California recall & other elections are more relevant than an election where 5% of eligible voters voted by the way), and Democrats investing in the state like they never have.

If Beto O'Rourke gets the race into single digits I say it has a good chance of happening depending on the national environment. If Beto wins outright it is almost a lock in 2024 because it is a Democrat in the White House midterm year.

1 week ago # QUOTE 2 YEA 5 NAY !
Gandalf

Suburban Karens are key in this

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Esme

Should have built a wall around California

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Amice

Don't see it happening for another 10 years. Those gains in Austin and Dallas have been off-set by all the losses in South Texas.

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Gandalf

Karens are everywhere !

They figure prominently, if they vote in high %, they will determine the outcome

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Krista

Boning hot Karen’s is top class. That one chick from Central Park who called the cops on the birdwatcher had a nice rack. I remember

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Gilberte

Republicans not getting the impressive 2020 Hispanic numbers again (the California recall & other elections are more relevant than an election where 5% of eligible voters voted by the way), and Democrats investing in the state like they never have.

They literally just swung a D+12 district a week ago. Hispanics, especially those in the working class, are moving GOP. Anyone who has looked at the data can see this trend.

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Cecil

Hispanics are not a monolith, it’s like lumping 1960s China with the USSR because both were communist.

Republicans not getting the impressive 2020 Hispanic numbers again (the California recall & other elections are more relevant than an election where 5% of eligible voters voted by the way), and Democrats investing in the state like they never have.

They literally just swung a D+12 district a week ago. Hispanics, especially those in the working class, are moving GOP. Anyone who has looked at the data can see this trend.

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Cecil

Also wouldn’t put too much stock in the 34 flip. She only holds the seat til January and she had a huge fundraising boost compared to her challengers. Democrats are running someone better against her in Nov.

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Jolyon

South Texas Hispanics are different from metropolitan ones. The Latino vote is much less of a distinctive thing than the Black vote. Factors like rural urban and religiosity that don't matter much for Black voters do matter among Hispanics.

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Cecil

Bingo

South Texas Hispanics are different from metropolitan ones. The Latino vote is much less of a distinctive thing than the Black vote. Factors like rural urban and religiosity that don't matter much for Black voters do matter among Hispanics.

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Gilberte

Hispanics are not a monolith, it’s like lumping 1960s China with the USSR because both were communist.
Republicans not getting the impressive 2020 Hispanic numbers again (the California recall & other elections are more relevant than an election where 5% of eligible voters voted by the way), and Democrats investing in the state like they never have.
They literally just swung a D+12 district a week ago. Hispanics, especially those in the working class, are moving GOP. Anyone who has looked at the data can see this trend.

Precisely why I said working class Latinos...

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Zareck

Also wouldn’t put too much stock in the 34 flip. She only holds the seat til January and she had a huge fundraising boost compared to her challengers. Democrats are running someone better against her in Nov.

Her district won’t even exist in November.

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Cecil

That’s literally not what you said but now that I see you’re illiterate I guess I can’t fault you or your VPN

Hispanics are not a monolith, it’s like lumping 1960s China with the USSR because both were communist.
Republicans not getting the impressive 2020 Hispanic numbers again (the California recall & other elections are more relevant than an election where 5% of eligible voters voted by the way), and Democrats investing in the state like they never have.
They literally just swung a D+12 district a week ago. Hispanics, especially those in the working class, are moving GOP. Anyone who has looked at the data can see this trend.

Precisely why I said working class Latinos...

1 week ago # QUOTE 5 YEA 1 NAY !
Gilberte

That’s literally not what you said but now that I see you’re illiterate I guess I can’t fault you or your VPN

"Hispanics, especially those in the working class, are moving GOP."

What part of this is not clear?

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Cecil

Okay I was being a d*** with my last comment and I apologize but to be honest, there are two points that could have been more clear, the first being Hispanic or latino, which is it, and the second: you could have phrased it “working-class Hispanics” to precisely imply it’s among working class Hispanics and not the broader US hispanic population with a sharper trend in the working class

That’s literally not what you said but now that I see you’re illiterate I guess I can’t fault you or your VPN

"Hispanics, especially those in the working class, are moving GOP."
What part of this is not clear?

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Iantha

Oh look... another "Texas will be blue by [insert next presidential election year]."

You remember that song from the 1950s? "Dream.... dream, dream, dream... dream..."

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Neil

lets hope bc GOP is a threat to our democracy

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Why Texas might turn blue in 2024 (not kidding)

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